SEMINAR 29 May 2012: Pablo Selaya, University of Copenhagen and CBS

Eye Disease and Development

Abstract

This study advances the hypothesis that cross‐country variation in the historical incidence of eye disease has influenced the current global distribution of per capita income. The theory is that pervasive eye disease diminished the incentive to accumulate skills, thereby delaying the fertility transition and the take‐off to sustained growth in income per capita. In order to gauge the influence from eye disease incidence empirically, we draw on an important fact from the field of epidemiology: Exposure to solar ultraviolet B radiation (UVB‐R) is an underlying determinant of several forms of eye disease; the most important being cataract, which is currently the leading cause of blindness worldwide. Using a satellite‐based measure of UVB‐R, we document that societies more exposed to UVB‐R are poorer and underwent the fertility transition with a significant delay compared to the forerunners. These findings are robust to the inclusion of an extensive set of climate and geography controls such as latitude, temperature and precipitation. Moreover, using a global data set on economic activity for all terrestrial grid cells from the Yale G‐Econ project, and a satellite data set with the the intensity of lights at night from NASA, we show that the link between UVB‐R and economic development is also robust to the inclusion of country fixed effects.